Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000149 0.000165 0.000182 0.000202 0.000224 0.000248 0.000275
2025-08-31 0.000116 0.000138 0.000163 0.000195 0.000234 0.000280 0.000339
2025-09-07 0.000098 0.000123 0.000154 0.000195 0.000249 0.000316 0.000409
2025-09-14 0.000088 0.000115 0.000150 0.000199 0.000266 0.000356 0.000488
2025-09-21 0.000077 0.000105 0.000142 0.000195 0.000272 0.000381 0.000547
2025-09-28 0.000067 0.000094 0.000132 0.000188 0.000272 0.000394 0.000591
2025-10-05 0.000063 0.000090 0.000129 0.000190 0.000285 0.000429 0.000670
2025-10-12 0.000059 0.000087 0.000128 0.000195 0.000302 0.000470 0.000764
2025-10-19 0.000054 0.000082 0.000123 0.000192 0.000306 0.000492 0.000829
2025-10-26 0.000051 0.000079 0.000122 0.000195 0.000319 0.000529 0.000925
2025-11-02 0.000047 0.000074 0.000117 0.000192 0.000324 0.000553 0.000998
2025-11-09 0.000044 0.000071 0.000114 0.000192 0.000331 0.000580 0.001081
2025-11-16 0.000041 0.000067 0.000110 0.000189 0.000334 0.000603 0.001162
2025-11-23 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000182 0.000331 0.000613 0.001221
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000060 0.000102 0.000183 0.000340 0.000649 0.001337
2025-12-07 0.000034 0.000058 0.000101 0.000186 0.000356 0.000698 0.001491
2025-12-14 0.000031 0.000055 0.000098 0.000183 0.000357 0.000719 0.001584
2025-12-21 0.000029 0.000051 0.000092 0.000176 0.000351 0.000723 0.001637
2025-12-28 0.000028 0.000050 0.000091 0.000178 0.000364 0.000770 0.001802
2026-01-04 0.000027 0.000049 0.000092 0.000182 0.000382 0.000830 0.002008
2026-01-11 0.000025 0.000047 0.000089 0.000180 0.000384 0.000854 0.002127
2026-01-18 0.000024 0.000046 0.000088 0.000182 0.000398 0.000907 0.002332
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000044 0.000086 0.000180 0.000401 0.000936 0.002473